Giving Tehran a free pass is simply too dangerous. (AP Photo/Ebrahim Noroozi) |
The Islamic
Republic of Iran has demonstrated a long pattern of obstruction regarding
inquiries and investigations into its nuclear activities, and that pattern persists more than two years
after the conclusion of a landmark nuclear agreement between Iran and six world
powers.
The conclusion
of that agreement in 2015 was to some extent dependent upon the neglect of
certain controversial issues, including access to Iranian military sites, where
the regime apparently carried out research and development related to
weaponization aspects
of the country's nuclear program. The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action
effectively skirted this issue by making it theoretically possible for the
International Atomic Energy Agency to ask for and receive access to military
sites, but only following a month-long process during which the Islamic Republic could work to
erase evidence of past activities.
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This is exactly
what happened at the highly suspect Parchin military base, from which the IAEA obtained soil samples that
still showed the presence of some nuclear material after satellite imagery
showed the site being partially demolished and sanitized. Despite this fact,
the IAEA closed the file on the past military dimensions of the Iranian nuclear program so that the JCPOA
could go forward toward implementation.
This and other
instances of Iranian deception and international neglect were the focus of a
recent report published by the International Committee In Search of Justice (ISJ), the non-profit
NGO that I head up in Brussels. The report drew upon public information and
intelligence gathered by the People's Mojahedin Organization of Iran
(PMOI/MEK), the main Iranian opposition group with a solid record of exposing information
about the regime´s nuclear project. The new information identifies a much
broader pattern of behaviors going far beyond well-publicized issues like
Parchin.
But even
without this additional intelligence, the Parchin situation and the Iranian regime's
repeated insistence that military sites are simply off limits to international
inspectors should be enough to demonstrate to the world that the JCPOA has
likely not halted Iran's nuclear activities, much less convinced the regime to cooperate with the
international community.
Sadly, various
world powers seem to be well aware of the shortcomings of the JCPOA, yet remain
committed to preserving that agreement and arguing that it is serving its
purpose effectively.
Regardless of
one's position on the
JCPOA, it is indefensible to suggest that the agreement has succeeded in its
objective of halting Iran's progress toward a nuclear weapon, or even that the
resulting inspections have closed the issue of the past military dimensions of
the program.
Anyone familiar
with Tehran's pattern of deception for the past two decades should recognize
the need for coordinated international insistence upon immediate and
unrestricted access to Parchin and other military sites, as well as access to
the sites and personnel
associated with the Organization of Defense Innovation and Research, which has
been identified as the institution at the heart of weaponization aspects of the
Iranian nuclear program. It is simply naïve and utterly dangerous to overlook
Tehran's deceptive
behaviors just for the sake of preserving the nuclear deal and pretending the
issue of possible military dimensions is resolved.
So far,
President Trump has remained silent on whether he plans to certify before
Congress that Iran is complying with its obligations under the agreement, as he will be
required to do on October 15.
To the extent
that the recent report relies upon information from the IAEA's publicly
available documents, it establishes that the nuclear monitoring agency has
effectively cast its
own findings aside. For instance, the report quotes one IAEA document,
published just on the verge of the JCPOA's implementation, as saying, "The
Agency assesses that the extensive activities undertaken by Iran since February
2012 at the particular
location of interest to the Agency seriously undermined the Agency's ability to
conduct effective verification."
Despite this
fact, the Agency now acts as if Tehran's ongoing patterns of obstruction are
not grounds for suspicion about its compliance. The IAEA has repeatedly insisted to the world that
Iran is in compliance with the nuclear deal, but in so doing it has not only
ignored the issue of what remains unknown about possible military dimensions,
but it has also ignored confirmed, if minor, violations of the JCPOA's limits on Iran's stockpiles of
nuclear materials and nuclear byproducts.
To the extent
that Iran refuses to cooperate with the international community, the nations of
the world should show that they can do better by cooperating among themselves in order to exert
the pressure that is necessary to make absolutely certain that this theocratic
regime is no longer pursuing the capability to build weapons of mass
destruction. Giving Tehran a free pass is simply too dangerous.
Alejo Vidal-Quadras, a Spanish professor
of atomic and nuclear physics, was vice-president of the European Parliament
from 1999 to 2014. He is currently president of the Brussels-based
International Committee in Search of Justice (ISJ).